Factors Associated with Influenza-like Illness among Inmates in an All-male Prison, Songkhla Province, Thailand, 2023

Abstract

On 9 Feb 2023, the Office of Disease Prevention and Control Region 12 Songkhla was informed of an influenza-like illness (ILI) cluster in an all-male prison in Songkhla Province. We investigated to identify the causative agent, possible sources and risk factors, and provide control measures. We conducted an active case finding by interviewing inmates and officers. Prison facilities and hygiene behaviors of inmates and officers were inspected. A retrospective cohort study was performed. Basic and effective reproductive numbers were estimated. The overall attack rate was 12.6% (474/3,648). Most cases were inmates from Wing C (80.4%). There were no severe cases or deaths. Of ten specimens tested, all were positive for influenza B/Victoria lineage, V1a.3a.2. Fifty-four percent of inmates had received influenza vaccine within the last 12 months. A mismatch between the viral strain in the vaccine and the one causing this outbreak likely contributed to the outbreak as the vaccine provided to the inmates was manufactured during the previous year's influenza season. Vaccine effectiveness was 36.2% against ILI. Having high-risk conditions (adjusted odds ratios (AOR) 2.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27–6.32) and sharing drinking glasses (AOR 2.02, 95% CI 1.21–3.36) were significant risk factors. The basic reproductive number for ILI in this outbreak was 1.36. The effective reproductive number ranged from 0.18–3.69. For effective management of ILI outbreaks in prisons, a continuous program of influenza vaccination following updated World Health Organization recommendations and a comprehensive surveillance system with rigorous respiratory illness management practices are suggested.

Keywords:  influenza, prisons, viral strain, vaccine effectiveness, reproductive numbers